The New York City mayoral race has tightened significantly, with former Governor Andrew Cuomo narrowing Democratic nominee Zohran Mamdani’s lead to just 10 points, as revealed by a recent Suffolk University poll released on October 27. With the election scheduled for November 4, Mamdani currently holds 44% support among likely voters, while Cuomo, running as an independent, has surged to 34%. Republican nominee Curtis Sliwa trails behind with 11%.
In September, Mamdani enjoyed a more comfortable 20-point advantage over Cuomo, but the dynamics of the race have shifted, raising questions about the potential impact of Sliwa’s supporters, who could play a crucial role in the outcome. David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, emphasized the key influence of Sliwa’s base. “There is one person in New York City whose voters could have an outsized impact on the outcome,” Paleologos stated. “It’s Republican Curtis Sliwa, whose 11% support could block Cuomo from winning the race.”
The poll highlights that Sliwa’s voters favor Cuomo as a second choice significantly, with 36% supporting him compared to just 2% for Mamdani. This dynamic suggests that while Mamdani leads, the Republican candidate’s followers could tip the balance in a tight race.
More intriguing shifts are evident among New York City’s critical voter demographics. Among Hispanic voters, Cuomo has made a remarkable turnabout, now leading Mamdani by 1 point, a stark reversal from a 30-point deficit just a month ago. Independents are also leaning toward Cuomo, who has flipped an 18-point gap into a 10-point lead in this important faction. This turnaround follows the endorsement of Cuomo by Mayor Eric Adams after he withdrew from his own re-election bid, although Adams remains on the ballot as an independent.
Economic concerns resonate strongly with voters, as the poll indicates that a majority, or 54%, perceive life in New York City as “somewhat or very unaffordable.” This widespread sense of economic pressure appears to be a driving force behind current voter sentiment.
The Suffolk poll, conducted from October 23 to October 26, utilized live phone interviews with 500 likely voters from all five boroughs in both English and Spanish. The survey boasts a margin of error of ±4.4 percentage points, ensuring a degree of accuracy in its findings.
With the election just days away, the stakes have never been higher. Candidates are now grappling with a rapidly evolving political landscape, and how they respond to these changing dynamics may ultimately determine who leads the nation’s largest city. As the race continues to develop, all eyes will remain on voter turnout and shifts in support that could redefine this contentious contest.
Original Source: https://www.livemint.com/news/us-news/zohran-mamdani-s-lead-shrinks-fast-as-cuomo-gains-ground-in-tight-nyc-mayor-battle-new-poll-11761593858912.html
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Publish Date: 2025-10-28 01:37:00
